AFC Representative the Favorite to Win Super Bowl 51

Outside of the Houston Texans, the AFC has three outstanding contenders remaining to win Super Bowl 51. Ironically, this year’s big game will be hosted at Houston’s NRG Stadium, where the Texans (10-7) just beat the Oakland Raiders 27-14 last week to advance to Saturday’s Divisional Round playoff matchup with the heavily favored New England Patriots (14-2). Houston is a 16-point road underdog at New England.
The AFC champion is a 3.5-point favorite versus the NFC champion for Super Bowl 51, and the Patriots, Pittsburgh Steelers (12-5) and Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) all have a legitimate shot to take home the Vince Lombardi Trophy on February 5. For bettors who want to simply wager on who will win the Super Bowl, the AFC is -140 chalk (bet $140 to win $100) while the NFC is +120 (bet $100 to win $120).
The NFC might be worth a gamble if you think New England will get upset by Pittsburgh or Kansas City because the Dallas Cowboys (13-3), Green Bay Packers (11-6) and Atlanta Falcons (11-5) are the second, third and fifth choices to win the Super Bowl, respectively. The Cowboys are the top NFC team and second choice overall at +475, right behind the favored Patriots (+180) and followed by the Packers (+550), Steelers (+725), Falcons (+800), Chiefs (+900), Seattle Seahawks (+900) and Texans (+5000).
After all four home favorites won easily during Wild Card weekend, the odds of a road underdog pulling off an upset are slightly better in the Divisional Round. The over/under for road teams to win is 1.5 with the under favored at -140 and the over at EVEN money. Pittsburgh figures to have the best chance according to oddsmakers as one-point road dogs visiting Kansas City. The Steelers routed the Chiefs 43-14 as 3.5-point home chalk in Week 4 of the regular season, and they are riding an eight-game winning streak.
Green Bay is the biggest riser up the futures betting board due to the remarkable recent play of quarterback Aaron Rodgers, who has 22 touchdown passes and no interceptions in the past eight games. The Packers have won their last seven, with Rodgers throwing four touchdown passes in each of their previous three. The odds of Rodgers throwing four touchdown passes again versus Dallas on Sunday are +1000, with “No” an overwhelming favorite at -5000. The Cowboys won 30-16 at Green Bay as 5.5-point road dogs in Week 6 with Rodgers throwing for 294 yards and one touchdown.
Rodgers is the favorite to total the most passing yards in the Divisional Round at +300 followed by New England’s Tom Brady and Atlanta’s Matt Ryan – both at +350 – and Pittsburgh’s Ben Roethlisberger at +500. Roethlisberger is nursing a foot injury but threw for 300 yards and a season-high five touchdowns against Kansas City in the first meeting.
Much like his team, Houston’s Brock Osweiler is the longshot at +1200, as he has thrown for less than 270 yards in every game he has played this season.