The Kansas City Chiefs can advance to their first Super Bowl in fifty years if they can find a way to stop the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship game.

The Chiefs are a 3-point home favorite in the matchup at BetOnline.ag. Kansas City advanced last week with an impressive 31-13 win over the Indianapolis Colts as a 4.5-point favorite. With the win the Chief improved to 8-1 straight up and 5-4 against the spread at home this season.

More importantly, last week’s win finally removed a cloud that has been hanging over the Chiefs in the playoffs for decades. With the win the Chiefs are now 2-11 SU and ATS in their last 13 playoff games.

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The victory also snapped a six-game home losing streak in the playoffs, and an eight-game ATS home losing streak in the playoffs.

Will the Patriots advance to Super Bowl 53?

New England advanced to the AFC title game for the eighth straight season after defeating the Los Angeles Chargers 41-28 as a 4-point home favorite. After covering the spread the Patriots are 4-4 ATS in their last eight games.

This is first time since 2016 that the Patriots have been listed as an underdog. In their last eight games as an underdog the Patriots have proved the oddsmakers wrong going 7-1 SU and ATS.

The real difference maker for New England this weekend may be playing on the road. This season New England was 3-5 SU and ATS on the road. On the road in the postseason they’ve lost three straight SU and ATS, and they’re 3-8 SU and 4-7 ATS in their last 11.

During their eight straight AFC championship streak New England is 0-2 SU and ATS on the road.

Will the Chiefs make Super Bowl 53?

In Week 6 the Chiefs and Patriots met up in New England and the Patriots won 43-40 as a 3.5-point favorite. New England is 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 versus the Chiefs. However, at home the Chiefs are 5-1 SU and 2-4 ATS in their last six versus New England.

For years the home team has dominated the AFC Championship, going 11-1 SU in the last 12 matchups. The home team is also 4-1 ATS in the last five, while the favorite has gone 10-2 SU in the last 12.

Looking at the trends and the Patriots mediocre road record in the postseason we’ll take the Chiefs to cover the spread and head to Super Bowl 53.

Patriots vs Chiefs Pick

KC -3