October’s an important month if you want to get some good value out of your Superbowl online betting. Now that we’re into the second month of the NFL regular season, we’re starting to get a pretty good idea about these 32 teams and what they’re made of. But it’s still early enough that the Super Bowl odds haven’t quite caught up yet. You can jump into the NFL futures market right now and find some very intriguing teams at bargain prices – maybe none more so than the four teams on this list:
Kansas City Chiefs
Picking second-tier and third-tier candidates instead of the top favorites is about as fundamental as it gets when it comes to SuperBowl betting tips. So how many people picked the Kansas City Chiefs during the preseason? They were more like fourth-tier candidates at 50/1; however, the Chiefs were expected to rebound strongly from their awful 2012 performance (2-4 SU, 5-11 ATS), and they’re off to a brilliant start so far at 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS. Kansas City is still 22/1 on the Super Bowl lines at press time, but don’t expect that to last much longer.
At the other end of the spectrum, we have a team coming off a fantastic 11-5 SU and ATS campaign. The Colts didn’t figure to be able to keep that up in 2013, based on their relatively poor efficiency-based statistics (7.2 Pythagorean Wins, for example) and their high success rate on both third downs (43 percent, No. 7 overall) and fourth downs (70 percent, No. 2) in 2012. However, regression has yet to visit Indianapolis. Thanks to their Week 5 victory over the Seattle Seahawks, the Colts sit on top of the AFC South at 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS, and their Superbowl odds have moved from 35/1 to 25/1.
It’s been quite a rollercoaster ride for the defending Super Bowl champions. Going into the regular season, the Ravens were 25/1 to secure those rare back-to-back titles, but they immediately fell to 33/1 after getting spanked by the Denver Broncos in Week 1. A pair of wins at home restored Baltimore’s odds to 22/1, then the Ravens went back on the road to Buffalo, lost a close one to the pesky Bills, and wound up back at 33/1. We’ll see what the NFL betting market thinks of Baltimore’s Week 5 victory over the Miami Dolphins; meanwhile, the Ravens are in first place in a weak AFC North Division with some very winnable games on the horizon.
Who wants a rematch between the Cowboys and the Broncos? If it happens, the Super Bowl point spread should be a lot tighter than the 7.5 points Denver was laying at home in Week 5. The Broncos got into the end zone early and often, but they still needed a late comeback to beat Dallas 51-48. Even though the Cowboys are only 2-2 (3-1 ATS), the awful NFC East is theirs to lose at this point, and that potential 33/1 payout is just the kind of value you want when you bet on the Superbowl futures market.